Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 10:05 AM, 92 voters in 21 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 138,328 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 91,883 - 176,143). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 10:05 AM 1882 c(2.5% = 1406) c(97.5% = 2157)
02 10:05 AM 3071 c(2.5% = 2274) c(97.5% = 3418)
03 10:05 AM 1788 c(2.5% = 1122) c(97.5% = 2270)
04 10:05 AM 1810 c(2.5% = 1130) c(97.5% = 2399)
05 10:05 AM 4366 c(2.5% = 3295) c(97.5% = 4929)
06 10:05 AM 1214 c(2.5% = 795) c(97.5% = 1552)
07 10:05 AM 1227 c(2.5% = 624) c(97.5% = 2333)
08 10:05 AM 4255 c(2.5% = 3255) c(97.5% = 4843)
09 10:05 AM 2065 c(2.5% = 1548) c(97.5% = 2407)
10 10:05 AM 2624 c(2.5% = 1689) c(97.5% = 3324)
11 10:05 AM 1157 c(2.5% = 710) c(97.5% = 1568)
12 10:05 AM 1980 c(2.5% = 1256) c(97.5% = 2574)
13 10:05 AM 1789 c(2.5% = 1121) c(97.5% = 2341)
14 10:05 AM 777 c(2.5% = 519) c(97.5% = 981)
15 10:05 AM 2199 c(2.5% = 1630) c(97.5% = 2495)
16 10:05 AM 970 c(2.5% = 583) c(97.5% = 1375)
17 10:05 AM 2181 c(2.5% = 1380) c(97.5% = 2814)
18 10:05 AM 1816 c(2.5% = 1312) c(97.5% = 2227)
19 10:05 AM 919 c(2.5% = 499) c(97.5% = 1557)
20 10:05 AM 888 c(2.5% = 534) c(97.5% = 1302)
21 10:05 AM 4971 c(2.5% = 3520) c(97.5% = 5981)
22 10:05 AM 2734 c(2.5% = 1930) c(97.5% = 3187)
23 10:05 AM 1648 c(2.5% = 1036) c(97.5% = 2245)
24 10:05 AM 1384 c(2.5% = 894) c(97.5% = 1876)
25 10:05 AM 1346 c(2.5% = 833) c(97.5% = 1889)
26 10:05 AM 1843 c(2.5% = 1304) c(97.5% = 2185)
27 10:05 AM 2398 c(2.5% = 1496) c(97.5% = 3458)
28 10:05 AM 1034 c(2.5% = 620) c(97.5% = 1458)
29 10:05 AM 1015 c(2.5% = 669) c(97.5% = 1267)
30 10:05 AM 2013 c(2.5% = 1455) c(97.5% = 2276)
31 10:05 AM 1651 c(2.5% = 1213) c(97.5% = 1785)
32 10:05 AM 1708 c(2.5% = 1029) c(97.5% = 2402)
33 10:05 AM 1422 c(2.5% = 767) c(97.5% = 2455)
34 10:05 AM 3720 c(2.5% = 2449) c(97.5% = 4681)
35 10:05 AM 2479 c(2.5% = 1545) c(97.5% = 3422)
36 10:05 AM 2998 c(2.5% = 1983) c(97.5% = 3704)
37 10:05 AM 1103 c(2.5% = 655) c(97.5% = 1606)
38 10:05 AM 1847 c(2.5% = 1272) c(97.5% = 2289)
39 10:05 AM 3592 c(2.5% = 2598) c(97.5% = 4140)
40 10:05 AM 3854 c(2.5% = 2452) c(97.5% = 5193)
41 10:05 AM 1508 c(2.5% = 916) c(97.5% = 2136)
42 10:05 AM 1955 c(2.5% = 1146) c(97.5% = 2903)
43 10:05 AM 1537 c(2.5% = 858) c(97.5% = 2475)
44 10:05 AM 1217 c(2.5% = 761) c(97.5% = 1612)
45 10:05 AM 1699 c(2.5% = 1077) c(97.5% = 2340)
46 10:05 AM 2305 c(2.5% = 1608) c(97.5% = 2761)
47 10:05 AM 720 c(2.5% = 459) c(97.5% = 992)
48 10:05 AM 1715 c(2.5% = 1108) c(97.5% = 2267)
49 10:05 AM 2206 c(2.5% = 1375) c(97.5% = 2956)
50 10:05 AM 3046 c(2.5% = 2060) c(97.5% = 3638)
51 10:05 AM 1970 c(2.5% = 1247) c(97.5% = 2619)
52 10:05 AM 2412 c(2.5% = 1628) c(97.5% = 2906)
53 10:05 AM 1707 c(2.5% = 1070) c(97.5% = 2381)
54 10:05 AM 1232 c(2.5% = 712) c(97.5% = 1875)
55 10:05 AM 1971 c(2.5% = 1205) c(97.5% = 2764)
56 10:05 AM 2857 c(2.5% = 1834) c(97.5% = 3761)
57 10:05 AM 2466 c(2.5% = 1651) c(97.5% = 3133)
58 10:05 AM 4132 c(2.5% = 2707) c(97.5% = 5365)
59 10:05 AM 2102 c(2.5% = 1363) c(97.5% = 2678)
60 10:05 AM 1680 c(2.5% = 1087) c(97.5% = 2128)
61 10:05 AM 2571 c(2.5% = 1616) c(97.5% = 3501)
62 10:05 AM 1847 c(2.5% = 1104) c(97.5% = 2713)
63 10:05 AM 2348 c(2.5% = 1622) c(97.5% = 2851)
64 10:05 AM 1340 c(2.5% = 848) c(97.5% = 1813)
65 10:05 AM 1934 c(2.5% = 1291) c(97.5% = 2464)
66 10:05 AM 4114 c(2.5% = 2751) c(97.5% = 5216)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92
9:55 AM 0528 148
9:45 AM 0224 110
9:45 AM 0224 109
7:45 AM 0517 35
9:58 AM 3636 120
9:49 AM 2212 74
8:00 AM 0817 100
10:05 AM 1503 129

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions