Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
As of 10:05 AM, 92 voters in 21 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 138,328 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 91,883 - 176,143). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
For those of you who like tables with numbers.
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 10:05 AM | 1882 |
c(2.5% = 1406)
|
c(97.5% = 2157)
|
| 02 | 10:05 AM | 3071 |
c(2.5% = 2274)
|
c(97.5% = 3418)
|
| 03 | 10:05 AM | 1788 |
c(2.5% = 1122)
|
c(97.5% = 2270)
|
| 04 | 10:05 AM | 1810 |
c(2.5% = 1130)
|
c(97.5% = 2399)
|
| 05 | 10:05 AM | 4366 |
c(2.5% = 3295)
|
c(97.5% = 4929)
|
| 06 | 10:05 AM | 1214 |
c(2.5% = 795)
|
c(97.5% = 1552)
|
| 07 | 10:05 AM | 1227 |
c(2.5% = 624)
|
c(97.5% = 2333)
|
| 08 | 10:05 AM | 4255 |
c(2.5% = 3255)
|
c(97.5% = 4843)
|
| 09 | 10:05 AM | 2065 |
c(2.5% = 1548)
|
c(97.5% = 2407)
|
| 10 | 10:05 AM | 2624 |
c(2.5% = 1689)
|
c(97.5% = 3324)
|
| 11 | 10:05 AM | 1157 |
c(2.5% = 710)
|
c(97.5% = 1568)
|
| 12 | 10:05 AM | 1980 |
c(2.5% = 1256)
|
c(97.5% = 2574)
|
| 13 | 10:05 AM | 1789 |
c(2.5% = 1121)
|
c(97.5% = 2341)
|
| 14 | 10:05 AM | 777 |
c(2.5% = 519)
|
c(97.5% = 981)
|
| 15 | 10:05 AM | 2199 |
c(2.5% = 1630)
|
c(97.5% = 2495)
|
| 16 | 10:05 AM | 970 |
c(2.5% = 583)
|
c(97.5% = 1375)
|
| 17 | 10:05 AM | 2181 |
c(2.5% = 1380)
|
c(97.5% = 2814)
|
| 18 | 10:05 AM | 1816 |
c(2.5% = 1312)
|
c(97.5% = 2227)
|
| 19 | 10:05 AM | 919 |
c(2.5% = 499)
|
c(97.5% = 1557)
|
| 20 | 10:05 AM | 888 |
c(2.5% = 534)
|
c(97.5% = 1302)
|
| 21 | 10:05 AM | 4971 |
c(2.5% = 3520)
|
c(97.5% = 5981)
|
| 22 | 10:05 AM | 2734 |
c(2.5% = 1930)
|
c(97.5% = 3187)
|
| 23 | 10:05 AM | 1648 |
c(2.5% = 1036)
|
c(97.5% = 2245)
|
| 24 | 10:05 AM | 1384 |
c(2.5% = 894)
|
c(97.5% = 1876)
|
| 25 | 10:05 AM | 1346 |
c(2.5% = 833)
|
c(97.5% = 1889)
|
| 26 | 10:05 AM | 1843 |
c(2.5% = 1304)
|
c(97.5% = 2185)
|
| 27 | 10:05 AM | 2398 |
c(2.5% = 1496)
|
c(97.5% = 3458)
|
| 28 | 10:05 AM | 1034 |
c(2.5% = 620)
|
c(97.5% = 1458)
|
| 29 | 10:05 AM | 1015 |
c(2.5% = 669)
|
c(97.5% = 1267)
|
| 30 | 10:05 AM | 2013 |
c(2.5% = 1455)
|
c(97.5% = 2276)
|
| 31 | 10:05 AM | 1651 |
c(2.5% = 1213)
|
c(97.5% = 1785)
|
| 32 | 10:05 AM | 1708 |
c(2.5% = 1029)
|
c(97.5% = 2402)
|
| 33 | 10:05 AM | 1422 |
c(2.5% = 767)
|
c(97.5% = 2455)
|
| 34 | 10:05 AM | 3720 |
c(2.5% = 2449)
|
c(97.5% = 4681)
|
| 35 | 10:05 AM | 2479 |
c(2.5% = 1545)
|
c(97.5% = 3422)
|
| 36 | 10:05 AM | 2998 |
c(2.5% = 1983)
|
c(97.5% = 3704)
|
| 37 | 10:05 AM | 1103 |
c(2.5% = 655)
|
c(97.5% = 1606)
|
| 38 | 10:05 AM | 1847 |
c(2.5% = 1272)
|
c(97.5% = 2289)
|
| 39 | 10:05 AM | 3592 |
c(2.5% = 2598)
|
c(97.5% = 4140)
|
| 40 | 10:05 AM | 3854 |
c(2.5% = 2452)
|
c(97.5% = 5193)
|
| 41 | 10:05 AM | 1508 |
c(2.5% = 916)
|
c(97.5% = 2136)
|
| 42 | 10:05 AM | 1955 |
c(2.5% = 1146)
|
c(97.5% = 2903)
|
| 43 | 10:05 AM | 1537 |
c(2.5% = 858)
|
c(97.5% = 2475)
|
| 44 | 10:05 AM | 1217 |
c(2.5% = 761)
|
c(97.5% = 1612)
|
| 45 | 10:05 AM | 1699 |
c(2.5% = 1077)
|
c(97.5% = 2340)
|
| 46 | 10:05 AM | 2305 |
c(2.5% = 1608)
|
c(97.5% = 2761)
|
| 47 | 10:05 AM | 720 |
c(2.5% = 459)
|
c(97.5% = 992)
|
| 48 | 10:05 AM | 1715 |
c(2.5% = 1108)
|
c(97.5% = 2267)
|
| 49 | 10:05 AM | 2206 |
c(2.5% = 1375)
|
c(97.5% = 2956)
|
| 50 | 10:05 AM | 3046 |
c(2.5% = 2060)
|
c(97.5% = 3638)
|
| 51 | 10:05 AM | 1970 |
c(2.5% = 1247)
|
c(97.5% = 2619)
|
| 52 | 10:05 AM | 2412 |
c(2.5% = 1628)
|
c(97.5% = 2906)
|
| 53 | 10:05 AM | 1707 |
c(2.5% = 1070)
|
c(97.5% = 2381)
|
| 54 | 10:05 AM | 1232 |
c(2.5% = 712)
|
c(97.5% = 1875)
|
| 55 | 10:05 AM | 1971 |
c(2.5% = 1205)
|
c(97.5% = 2764)
|
| 56 | 10:05 AM | 2857 |
c(2.5% = 1834)
|
c(97.5% = 3761)
|
| 57 | 10:05 AM | 2466 |
c(2.5% = 1651)
|
c(97.5% = 3133)
|
| 58 | 10:05 AM | 4132 |
c(2.5% = 2707)
|
c(97.5% = 5365)
|
| 59 | 10:05 AM | 2102 |
c(2.5% = 1363)
|
c(97.5% = 2678)
|
| 60 | 10:05 AM | 1680 |
c(2.5% = 1087)
|
c(97.5% = 2128)
|
| 61 | 10:05 AM | 2571 |
c(2.5% = 1616)
|
c(97.5% = 3501)
|
| 62 | 10:05 AM | 1847 |
c(2.5% = 1104)
|
c(97.5% = 2713)
|
| 63 | 10:05 AM | 2348 |
c(2.5% = 1622)
|
c(97.5% = 2851)
|
| 64 | 10:05 AM | 1340 |
c(2.5% = 848)
|
c(97.5% = 1813)
|
| 65 | 10:05 AM | 1934 |
c(2.5% = 1291)
|
c(97.5% = 2464)
|
| 66 | 10:05 AM | 4114 |
c(2.5% = 2751)
|
c(97.5% = 5216)
|
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
| 7:13 AM | 0218 | 9 |
| 8:07 AM | 4603 | 27 |
| 8:16 AM | 0218 | 60 |
| 8:18 AM | 0222 | 68 |
| 8:10 AM | 1810 | 36 |
| 8:20 AM | 3635 | 57 |
| 8:30 AM | 3110 | 55 |
| 8:32 AM | 0532 | 69 |
| 8:30 AM | 2707 | 45 |
| 8:32 AM | 2702 | 48 |
| 8:15 AM | 3901 | 52 |
| 8:15 AM | 3640 | 64 |
| 8:38 AM | 3638 | 55 |
| 8:38 AM | 3637 | 31 |
| 8:42 AM | 0525 | 64 |
| 8:40 AM | 0501 | 36 |
| 7:30 AM | 0202 | 28 |
| 8:40 AM | 0537 | 56 |
| 8:12 AM | 4616 | 41 |
| 8:35 AM | 3909 | 65 |
| 8:43 AM | 0517 | 69 |
| 8:49 AM | 0834 | 73 |
| 8:49 AM | 0206 | 69 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 8:07 AM | 0801 | 40 |
| 7:30 AM | 3640 | 31 |
| 7:30 AM | 3104 | 29 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 8:45 AM | 2101 | 47 |
| 8:25 AM | 3945 | 52 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 9:02 AM | 1503 | 92 |
| 7:15 AM | 0902 | 12 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 7:01 AM | 0807 | 13 |
| 9:09 AM | 4701 | 73 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 9:10 AM | 1514 | 81 |
| 7:55 AM | 1517 | 30 |
| 9:00 AM | 3914 | 40 |
| 8:00 AM | 5702 | 60 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 9:15 AM | 2714 | 51 |
| 8:15 AM | 2605 | 56 |
| 9:20 AM | 3637 | 100 |
| 9:20 AM | 3638 | 79 |
| 8:30 AM | 0521 | 92 |
| 9:20 AM | 0532 | 112 |
| 9:15 AM | 1802 | 73 |
| 9:24 AM | 2911 | 62 |
| 9:03 AM | 0229 | 95 |
| 9:23 AM | 0812 | 138 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 9:00 AM | 3107 | 100 |
| 9:15 AM | 3639 | 86 |
| 9:15 AM | 0120 | 76 |
| 9:30 AM | 0308 | 109 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 9:25 AM | 3610 | 84 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:35 AM | 0817 | 107 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 8:00 AM | 0106 | 69 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 9:38 AM | 6008 | 49 |
| 9:30 AM | 3636 | 108 |
| 7:15 AM | 0114 | 9 |
| 9:46 AM | 3111 | 104 |
| 9:47 AM | 0204 | 72 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 9:55 AM | 0528 | 148 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 110 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 109 |
| 7:45 AM | 0517 | 35 |
| 9:58 AM | 3636 | 120 |
| 9:49 AM | 2212 | 74 |
| 8:00 AM | 0817 | 100 |
| 10:05 AM | 1503 | 129 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions